From c403bac69ce428baa8ccaeaafe0a3d63a8d8a401 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001
From: Rik Huijzer <20724914+rikhuijzer@users.noreply.github.com>
Date: Sat, 24 Oct 2020 14:27:04 +0200
Subject: [PATCH] Fix the calculation for the updated belief

The order was reversed as could be seen by computing the posterior distribution for one heads or one tails.
---
 _tutorials/0_Introduction.md | 3 ++-
 1 file changed, 2 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-)

diff --git a/_tutorials/0_Introduction.md b/_tutorials/0_Introduction.md
index 1032e8ec0..4a658f2d5 100644
--- a/_tutorials/0_Introduction.md
+++ b/_tutorials/0_Introduction.md
@@ -200,7 +200,8 @@ Now we can build our plot:
 # Compute the posterior distribution in closed-form.
 N = length(data)
 heads = sum(data)
-updated_belief = Beta(prior_belief.α + heads, prior_belief.β + N - heads)
+tails = N - heads
+updated_belief = Beta(prior_belief.α + tails, prior_belief.β + heads)
 
 # Visualize a blue density plot of the approximate posterior distribution using HMC (see Chain 1 in the legend).
 p = plot(p_summary, seriestype = :density, xlim = (0,1), legend = :best, w = 2, c = :blue)